- Advertisement -
- Advertisement -

Related

What’s in Store for Alternatives in 2023?

Latest Report

- Advertisement -

By Jack Inglis, CEO of AIMA: 2022 was demonstrably a good year for alternative investments when average performance is set against the backdrop of double-digit downturns across equities and bond markets. The year ahead will no doubt be demanding but there are many reasons for cautious optimism too and I am confident our industry has the skill set to prove its mettle once again in navigating difficult times successfully. I have predicted seven key themes for the alternative investment industry in 2023.

1. Alternatives will again outperform traditional investment styles

Overall, 2022 was a good year for hedge funds when average performance is set against the backdrop of double-digit downturns across public markets in bonds and equities. The HFRI asset weighted index showed a gain of close to 1%, while traditional 60/40 portfolios lost 17%. We can say that the industry once again underscored its utility as a protector of wealth and provider of uncorrelated returns.

Nevertheless, there was wider-than-usual disparity in performance among hedge fund strategies; macro, trend following, and many multi-strategy funds stood out as the best performers, while long-biased equity long/short funds suffered.

With most forecasts for the coming 12 months predicting market volatility to continue, the benefits of investing in hedge funds will continue to attract capital as investors diversify away from the traditional 60/40 model of investing. We expect long/short equity to have a better year as stock-picking opportunities on both sides abound.

2. Bifurcation of the hedge fund industry to continue

The pandemic and its aftermath have witnessed a deepening bifurcation of the hedge fund industry, with money and talent becoming increasingly concentrated among the largest hedge fund firms. Central to this shift has been the rise in influence of multi-strategy/asset managers, many of whom have delivered among the best gains for investors over the past few years. As institutional investors shift further to hedge funds, we expect these firms to be favoured, resulting in an even greater gulf in assets under management between the largest fund managers in the industry and the rest.

3. Industry to focus on costs as inflation persists

With inflation levels at multi-decade highs, the consequential impact on higher operating expenses (including increased technology and data costs, travel costs), not to mention the continued war on talent, will push the industry to further re-evaluate firm processes, structures and working environments in a bid to keep costs more manageable while retaining employees. In a further squeeze to costs, fund managers that are unable to deliver on required performance for investors will come under renew pressure to lower their fees.

4. The resolve of ESG proponents will be tested

2023 may prove to be a pivotal year for the sustainable investment movement. The looming threat of a global recession is inspiring investors to re-examine their portfolios and ask difficult questions around what they want from their alternative investment funds when it comes to the application of ESG principles, especially, if it’s uncertain how this will affect returns.

Meanwhile, ESG-related rulemaking across Europe and Asia Pacific is expected to further crystalise, as rules around fund names and disclosures come into effect. The US is also setting its sights on the regulation of responsible investing, although the politicisation of ESG across the red-blue divide could frustrate some efforts on that front.

5. 2023 regulatory initiatives will further increase the compliance burden

The global regulatory agenda for the alternative investment industry is rarely quiet, but the deluge of radical proposals from the US SEC last year has sent the industry’s legal and advocacy teams into overdrive. 2023 will see many of these proposals being put into action and there will be plenty of implementation work ahead. AIMA is well prepared for this.

The UK has begun its decoupling from the EU regulatory regime, which, although welcome in parts, will create more work for managers. In the EU, the AIFMD review will be finalised but is unlikely to require substantial changes to firms’ policies.

6. Crypto winter to darken, but digital assets are here to stay.

None more so than any other group, the crypto sector was very glad to wave goodbye to 2022. Despite the tumultuous year, crypto observers are still cautiously optimistic, arguing that the shakeout will ultimately produce a more robust digital asset industry. The inevitable regulation will go some way to restoring faith, but it is expected to be a challenging year for fundraising and a significant pause in the road regarding institutional adoption.

What is without argument, however, is the viability of blockchain technology with a growing number of use cases across an increasing variety of global supply chains. We also witness some of the biggest industry names ‘tokenising’ their funds to bring capital formation to the blockchain enabling capital raising to become more efficient. Despite the hype, the digital assets industry remains in its infancy, and as such, will continue to experience enormous innovation as it finds its place within established financial markets.

7. The next wave of capital into alternatives will come from retail investors

The democratisation of the alternative investment industry has always seemed just over the horizon but that seems closer than ever now that the bull market in equities and bonds is over. While many institutional investors are already full weighted in alternatives, private wealth assets by contrast are substantially underweight. This represents a huge opportunity of new capital for managers over the next decade if they can adapt their distribution channels and adopt the appropriate fund vehicles to access this.

 

This post was originally published here.

Subscribe to HedgeBrev, HedgeNordic’s weekly newsletter, and never miss the latest news!

Our newsletter is sent once a week, every Friday.

Guest Contributor
Guest Contributor
This article was written by a third party as a guest contribution. The content represents the views of the author(s). It was submitted and edited under HedgeNordic’s guidelines, but is not a product of HedgeNordic’s regular editorial team. The opinions expressed in this article are solely those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect the views or positions of HedgeNordic. This contribution may include paid content or promotional material.

Latest Articles

Othania’s All-In-One Fund Celebrates Five Years

Danish fund boutique Othania is celebrating the five-year anniversary of Othania Balanceret Makro, its all-in-one fund blending equity, bond, and alternatives exposure through Exchange...

Atlant Fonder Crosses SEK 10 Billion Milestone

Strong performance and steady inflows have propelled alternative fund boutique Atlant Fonder past the SEK 10 billion milestone in assets under management. Its flagship...

Nordea PM Joins Lancelot Global as Co-Manager

Lancelot Global, a long-only equity fund with flexible net exposure ranging from 60 to 120 percent, has strengthened its portfolio management team with the...

Quirky Questions – or, A Peoples Business

If asset management were only about numbers, we could all go home and let the calculators get on with it. But calculators are dull...

Navigating CLOs Through ETFs: Opportunities in AAA-Rated Tranches

By UBS Asset Management: Collateralized Loan Obligations (CLOs) have long been a cornerstone of the U.S. securitized products market, evolving from a niche institutional investment...

From Core to Alternatives: The ETF-Driven Approach of a Finnish Wealth Manager

Wealth managers are tasked with designing investment portfolios that align with clients’ needs, objectives, risk tolerance, preferences, and financial circumstances. While high-net-worth clients often...

Allocator Interviews

In-Depth: High Yield

Voices

Request for Proposal

- Advertisement -
HedgeNordic
Privacy Overview

This website uses cookies so that we can provide you with the best user experience possible. Cookie information is stored in your browser and performs functions such as recognising you when you return to our website and helping our team to understand which sections of the website you find most interesting and useful.