- Advertisement -
- Advertisement -

Related

The Thanksgiving turkey-black swan dilemma

Report: Alternative Fixed Income

- Advertisement -

Stockholm (HedgeNordic) – A famous example Nasim Taleb uses in his 2007 book “The Black Swan” to describe what a black swan occurrence is and how unforeseen it is to those getting stricken by it fits is rather well with todays US holiday is the Thanksgiving turkey.

“Consider a turkey that is fed every day,”  Taleb writes. “Every single feeding will firm up the bird’s belief that it is the general rule of life to be fed every day by friendly members of the human race ‘looking out for its best interests,’ as a politician would say. “On the afternoon of the Wednesday before Thanksgiving, something unexpected will happen to the turkey. It will incur a revision of belief.”

Here’s Taleb’s famous chart describing the dilemma:

taleb-thanksgiving-turkey

Picture: (c) muratart—shutterstock.com

Subscribe to HedgeBrev, HedgeNordic’s weekly newsletter, and never miss the latest news!

Our newsletter is sent once a week, every Friday.

Kamran Ghalitschi
Kamran Ghalitschi
Kamran has been working in the financial industry since 1994 and has specialized on client relations and marketing. Having worked with retail clients in asset management and brokerage the first ten years of his career for major European banks, he joined a CTA / Managed Futures fund with 1,5 Billion USD under management where he was responsible for sales, client relations and operations in the BeNeLux and Nordic countries. Kamran joined a multi-family office managing their own fund of hedgefunds with 400 million USD AuM in 2009. Kamran has worked and lived in Vienna, Frankfurt, Amsterdam and Stockholm. Born in 1974, Kamran today again lives in Vienna, Austria.

Latest Articles

Nordic Fund Boutiques Building Strength Through Consolidation

The Nordic asset management industry is experiencing an accelerating wave of consolidation, particularly among boutique firms, including those with roots in the hedge fund...

Hafnium Navigates Early Stress Test Following March Launch

Timing a hedge fund launch is never easy and getting it right can be make-or-break for long-term success. French-Danish duo Alexis Dubois and Victor...

Ex-Velliv PM Joins Lærernes Pension

After Danish pension provider Velliv dismissed its entire alternatives team earlier this year as part of a broader strategic shift towards passive strategies, its...

Bitcoin-Focused Anna Secures Full AIFM License

Anna Asset Management, which runs a momentum-driven strategy focused on Bitcoin futures, has been granted a full license as an alternative investment fund manager...

Bright Spots Emerge Amid Difficult March for Nordic Hedge Funds

Although March already feels like a distant memory amid the turbulence of April, Nordic hedge funds also faced a challenging month back then. All...

Mandatum Managed Futures Maintains Momentum

Mandatum Managed Futures Fund was named the “Best Nordic Managed Futures Fund” at the Nordic Hedge Award for the second year in a row,...

Allocator Interviews

In-Depth: Megatrends

Voices

Request for Proposal

- Advertisement -