- Advertisement -
- Advertisement -

Related

Early Buy Signals Ignite a Rebound

Industry Report

- Advertisement -

Stockholm (HedgeNordic) – In mid-November 2022, Nils Brobacke launched Brobacke Global Allokering, a discretionary multi-asset global macro fund. Following mixed performance in the first half of 2023, the fund dipped into negative territory after losses in September and October. However, Brobacke Global Allokering advanced 11.5 percent in November and a further 2.3 percent so far in December to reclaim positive territory for the year. The recovery was fueled by a multitude of buy signals generated by Brobacke’s short-term models in early November.

Brobacke’s global macro strategy centers around predicting price movements in equity, currency, bond, and commodity markets, relying on market-related information such as price data, sentiment analysis, and capital flows. Influenced by the trend-following CTA space, Brobacke acknowledges the challenges faced in capturing trends so far in 2023. Following a risk-off period in September and October, triggered by the Israel-Palestine conflict and concerns over inflation and the ‘higher for longer’ narrative, Brobacke observed signs of a risk-on environment in November.

“Coming into November, we observed record short positioning in equities and bonds, a depressed sentiment at both retail and institutional level,” notes Brobacke. The U.S. dollar index, a gauge of the currency’s strength against a basket of six rivals and a key indicator of market sentiment, stopped rising in early October, suggesting a more risk-on tone to the market, according to Brobacke. “Emerging market currencies started going up,” he emphasizes. Seasonal patterns also suggested that the tides could be turning, as November has historically been the strongest month for stocks since 1950.

“All of these combined was a great backdrop for risk assets to rally in November.”

“All of these combined was a great backdrop for risk assets to rally in November,” summarizes Brobacke. “A lot of my short-term models were generating buy signals in early November and kept coming throughout the month.” The fund’s standout performers in November included the exposure to the crypto space from individual positions in Coinbase and MicroStrategy, and the VanEck Crypto and Blockchain Innovators UCITS ETF. Additionally, strong contributions came from small-cap exposure via the iShares Russell 2000 ETF, investments in uranium and gold, as well as various single-stock positions such as Uber and Chinese agriculture-focused online retailer PDD Holdings. “On the FX side, the long bet on the Swedish Krona has played out well.”

Brobacke expects higher volatility in the fund’s returns going forward as “trading a multi-asset strategy in a UCITS-regulated structure has changed the trading universe for me.” Compliance and liquidity issues with UCITS-structured ETFs have led Brobacke to shift toward using single stocks to express market views. After struggling with execution during the first half of the year, “I have the confidence that the strategy will deliver when execution is on par.”

Subscribe to HedgeBrev, HedgeNordic’s weekly newsletter, and never miss the latest news!

Our newsletter is sent once a week, every Friday.

Eugeniu Guzun
Eugeniu Guzun
Eugeniu Guzun serves as a data analyst responsible for maintaining and gatekeeping the Nordic Hedge Index, and as a journalist covering the Nordic hedge fund industry for HedgeNordic. Eugeniu completed his Master’s degree at the Stockholm School of Economics in 2018. Write to Eugeniu Guzun at eugene@hedgenordic.com

Latest Articles

Formue Highlights Private Credit’s Role in New Economic Era

Nordic wealth manager Formue has long prided itself on delivering institutional-grade investment solutions to high-net-worth individuals. As global economic conditions shift, Formue sees an important role...

Chelonia Select Builds on Solid 2024

Stock-picking hedge fund Chelonia Select is off to a strong start in 2025 with an 8.3 percent gain through the end of May, building...

CABA Capital Expands the Flex Series

Danish fixed-income boutique CABA Capital has launched the third vintage of its leveraged, closed-end fixed income strategy: CABA Flex3. The fund aims to deliver...

Aegon AM Launches Capital Call Finance Fund

Aegon Asset Management has launched the Aegon Capital Call Finance Fund, providing institutional investors with access to the capital call finance market – a...

Evli’s Co-Investment Strategy: Opening the Door to Direct Private Equity Deals

Co-investing alongside private equity funds has become increasingly important for institutional investors seeking greater control, reduced fees, and selective deal exposure. Once reserved for...

From Loans to Layers: Navigating the CLO Capital Stack

Collateralized Loan Obligations (CLOs) play an important role in credit markets by bridging the capital needs of corporate borrowers with the return objectives of...

Allocator Interviews

In-Depth: High Yield

Voices

Request for Proposal

- Advertisement -
HedgeNordic
Privacy Overview

This website uses cookies so that we can provide you with the best user experience possible. Cookie information is stored in your browser and performs functions such as recognising you when you return to our website and helping our team to understand which sections of the website you find most interesting and useful.