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Hedge Fund Journal: Calculo Best in Commodity Trend Following

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This year’s Alternative Fixed Income report from HedgeNordic explores how institutional investors and asset managers are navigating this new reality, balancing yield and resilience amid shifting credit cycles, structural change, and evolving sources of return.

Stockholm (HedgeNordic) – Calculo Evolution Fund, a pure commodity trend-follower based in Denmark, has been recognized as the “Best Performing Commodity Trend Follower” over both two and five-year periods by the Hedge Fund Journal. While many vehicles using trend-following algorithms experienced a setback in 2023 after impressive performance in 2022, Calculo Evolution Fund managed to only dip 2.2 percent in 2023 after achieving its best yearly return of 15.1 percent in 2022.

“This award is a testament to our hard work and dedication to excellence in the commodities market,” remarks Philip Engel Carlsson, the founder of Calculo Capital and the architect behind the strategy powering Calculo Evolution Fund. “Achieving this distinction over both short and long term is particularly significant. It reflects our sustained commitment to not just performance, but superior risk-adjusted returns,” he continues. “Our strategic focus ensures that we not only capitalize on trends but do so in a manner that prioritizes stability and resilience.”

“Achieving this distinction over both short and long term is particularly significant. It reflects our sustained commitment to not just performance, but superior risk-adjusted returns.”

Philip Engel Carlsson, founder of Calculo Capital

Calculo Capital’s trend-following strategy is designed to capture price trends in underlying commodities by trading futures. The strategy focuses on trading the most liquid commodities, spanning energy, metals, agricultural commodities, and softs such as coffee, cocoa, and sugar, among others. Based at the Charlottenlund Palace just outside Copenhagen, Calculo Capital employs a systematic strategy aimed at capturing smaller, short-term trends within larger trends across commodities markets.

This strategy design focused on smaller, shorter-term trends has allowed Calculo Evolution Fund to minimize drawdowns. Since its inception in August 2018, the commodity-focused trend-following vehicle has experienced a maximum drawdown of 6.7 percent. Over more than five years since its launch, Calculo Evolution Fund has delivered an annualized return of 3.4 percent.

Calculo Capital recently introduced a higher risk, higher return version of Calculo Evolution Fund, which became available to external investors in January of 2023. Calculo Evolution Fund 2x recorded its best month in April this year with a return of 5.3 percent, driven by a 3.0 percent contribution from coffee markets. Despite operating with double the volatility of the original strategy, Calculo Evolution Fund 2x incurred only a 3.2 percent loss in the challenging market conditions for trend-followers in 2023.

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Eugeniu Guzun
Eugeniu Guzun
Eugeniu Guzun serves as a data analyst responsible for maintaining and gatekeeping the Nordic Hedge Index, and as a journalist covering the Nordic hedge fund industry for HedgeNordic. Eugeniu completed his Master’s degree at the Stockholm School of Economics in 2018. Write to Eugeniu Guzun at eugene@hedgenordic.com

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